Tuesday, October 9, 2012

For 1st time this yr PPP has Romney winning. Left-leaning PPP poll has Romney 49 Obama 47


Left-leaning PPPolls has Romney beating Obama by two, the first time PPP has found this year

Daily Kos/SEIU Weekly State of the Nation Poll

Public Policy Polling, 1300 likely voters, MoE ±2.7%, October 4, 2012 - October 7, 2012.

The candidates for President are Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

Barack ObamaMitt RomneyUndecided
All47494
Women51454
Men42544
Democrat87112
Republican7903
Independent/​Other42489
Liberal86104
Moderate57376
Conservative18802
White38584
African-American85123
Asian52426
Hispanic63342
American Indian47530
   Federal Tribe5149-
   Not Federal Tribe2971-
Other503118
Tea Party7912
Non Tea Party73234
Not sure24679
Union household59365
Non-union household43534
18 to 2955369
30 to 4548483
46 to 6543534
Older than 6546522
Northeast56405
Midwest44506
South38593
West53443
Didn't complete high school63353
High school graduate44542
Some college or associate's degree45505
College graduate44515
Postgraduate study53443
Don't care to say316010
Less than $30,00055405
$30,000 to $50,00047503
$50,000 to $75,00045497
$75,000 to $100,00047512
Over $100,00047513
Declined to Answer41536
Thursday48493
Friday44497
Saturday51473
Sunday42535
Blue state56386
Red state36613
Swing state46513


Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

FavorableUnfavorableNot sure
All47504
Women52444
Men41563
Democrat86122
Republican8893
Independent/​Other41518
Liberal84133
Moderate58366
Conservative17812
White39583
African-American82162
Asian423424
Hispanic57421
American Indian42508
   Federal Tribe404118
   Not Federal Tribe29710
Other503911
Tea Party5922
Non Tea Party73243
Not sure26659
Union household57394
Non-union household43533
18 to 2957367
30 to 4546504
46 to 6544542
Older than 6545514
Northeast54415
Midwest43525
South37612
West56422
Didn't complete high school49501
High school graduate44542
Some college or associate's degree45513
College graduate43516
Postgraduate study53443
Don't care to say464510
Less than $30,00055414
$30,000 to $50,00046532
$50,000 to $75,00045541
$75,000 to $100,00050473
Over $100,00044497
Declined to Answer43516
Thursday47485
Friday45523
Saturday50482
Sunday43534
Blue state57385
Red state37622
Swing state44524

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

ApproveDisapproveNot sure
All43534
Women48475
Men38593
Democrat84133
Republican6931
Independent/​Other345510
Liberal80146
Moderate53416
Conservative17821
White35614
African-American84142
Asian325216
Hispanic57412
American Indian31690
   Federal Tribe1585-
   Not Federal Tribe2971-
Other504011
Tea Party6931
Non Tea Party68274
Not sure20729
Union household54414
Non-union household40564
18 to 2950419
30 to 4543534
46 to 6542562
Older than 6542534
Northeast51435
Midwest42535
South36631
West46496
Didn't complete high school56431
High school graduate40564
Some college or associate's degree41554
College graduate39557
Postgraduate study52471
Don't care to say276014
Less than $30,00049447
$30,000 to $50,00042562
$50,000 to $75,00041554
$75,000 to $100,00046513
Over $100,00043524
Declined to Answer39574
Thursday44534
Friday41554
Saturday47494
Sunday43516
Blue state51436
Red state33651
Swing state44525

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?

FavorableUnfavorableNot sure
All51445
Women47476
Men55414
Democrat14815
Republican9073
Independent/​Other51418
Liberal12835
Moderate40537
Conservative80173
White59374
African-American17785
Asian42526
Hispanic35569
American Indian59319
   Federal Tribe671518
   Not Federal Tribe67294
Other42518
Tea Party9162
Non Tea Party27694
Not sure642214
Union household39538
Non-union household55414
18 to 2947477
30 to 4549483
46 to 6553425
Older than 6552426
Northeast44506
Midwest51427
South61354
West43544
Didn't complete high school47466
High school graduate57404
Some college or associate's degree52417
College graduate50455
Postgraduate study46513
Don't care to say60400
Less than $30,00040547
$30,000 to $50,00053425
$50,000 to $75,00050463
$75,000 to $100,00051418
Over $100,00054434
Declined to Answer54425
Thursday53434
Friday50445
Saturday45487
Sunday54397
Blue state40555
Red state62344
Swing state53426

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

FavorableUnfavorableNot sure
All42509
Women474211
Men35587
Democrat78157
Republican7867
Independent/​Other345115
Liberal78148
Moderate513811
Conservative16777
White36578
African-American76178
Asian274528
Hispanic50419
American Indian157312
   Federal Tribe793-
   Not Federal Tribe2773-
Other503613
Tea Party5914
Non Tea Party67268
Not sure166024
Union household484210
Non-union household40528
18 to 29414019
30 to 4543489
46 to 6540546
Older than 6543516
Northeast50428
Midwest404713
South35587
West44506
Didn't complete high school523711
High school graduate395110
Some college or associate's degree41527
College graduate375210
Postgraduate study49447
Don't care to say245818
Less than $30,000464212
$30,000 to $50,00039537
$50,000 to $75,00041527
$75,000 to $100,00045478
Over $100,00042498
Declined to Answer355213
Thursday43489
Friday38557
Saturday45488
Sunday394417
Blue state484310
Red state32608
Swing state44488

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?

FavorableUnfavorableNot sure
All48439
Women424711
Men54406
Democrat12799
Republican8587
Independent/​Other504011
Liberal11845
Moderate385012
Conservative75178
White56377
African-American147511
Asian384320
Hispanic315514
American Indian652015
   Federal Tribe85150
   Not Federal Tribe63298
Other394615
Tea Party9064
Non Tea Party23708
Not sure611425
Union household385112
Non-union household51418
18 to 29365212
30 to 45474112
46 to 6551426
Older than 6550428
Northeast424910
Midwest464410
South57349
West44506
Didn't complete high school404812
High school graduate473815
Some college or associate's degree484210
College graduate494210
Postgraduate study47503
Don't care to say57430
Less than $30,000384814
$30,000 to $50,00048439
$50,000 to $75,00052417
$75,000 to $100,000434710
Over $100,00051436
Declined to Answer523810
Thursday49447
Friday50419
Saturday444610
Sunday404119
Blue state40547
Red state58349
Swing state484111

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democratic Party?

FavorableUnfavorableNot sure
All45488
Women50419
Men38557
Democrat8794
Republican6887
Independent/​Other335017
Liberal81811
Moderate54379
Conservative18775
White37558
African-American83143
Asian325018
Hispanic62317
American Indian31618
   Federal Tribe156718
   Not Federal Tribe29710
Other42499
Tea Party6913
Non Tea Party69248
Not sure285319
Union household54388
Non-union household41518
18 to 29533610
30 to 4542499
46 to 6543516
Older than 6545487
Northeast533710
Midwest44488
South36595
West49439
Didn't complete high school50474
High school graduate444412
Some college or associate's degree44506
College graduate405110
Postgraduate study50445
Don't care to say463718
Less than $30,00051427
$30,000 to $50,00043525
$50,000 to $75,00045487
$75,000 to $100,00049439
Over $100,000395110
Declined to Answer47458
Thursday45469
Friday42526
Saturday48467
Sunday444413
Blue state53398
Red state35596
Swing state44479

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republican Party?

FavorableUnfavorableNot sure
All42508
Women39529
Men45487
Democrat10846
Republican81136
Independent/​Other335116
Liberal9874
Moderate266212
Conservative72217
White48448
African-American16796
Asian40528
Hispanic30628
American Indian464113
   Federal Tribe592318
   Not Federal Tribe464212
Other335413
Tea Party82135
Non Tea Party18766
Not sure512426
Union household32618
Non-union household45479
18 to 2938557
30 to 4540528
46 to 6543498
Older than 65424810
Northeast34579
Midwest43497
South51409
West33598
Didn't complete high school41518
High school graduate454411
Some college or associate's degree46468
College graduate38539
Postgraduate study36586
Don't care to say533314
Less than $30,00034597
$30,000 to $50,000444610
$50,000 to $75,00040519
$75,000 to $100,00046486
Over $100,00040519
Declined to Answer44497
Thursday40527
Friday42508
Saturday415010
Sunday474112
Blue state32617
Red state503911
Swing state44497

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

Very excitedSomewhat excitedNot at all excited
All652312
Women642412
Men672211
Democrat68248
Republican692011
Independent/​Other552619
Liberal70255
Moderate542917
Conservative741610
White642412
African-American79147
Asian543016
Hispanic652510
American Indian74260
   Federal Tribe8218-
   Not Federal Tribe8614-
Other641422
Tea Party77157
Non Tea Party612712
Not sure582220
Union household662212
Non-union household652311
18 to 29622810
30 to 45642115
46 to 65682210
Older than 65652312
Northeast622612
Midwest692111
South672013
West652510
Didn't complete high school70229
High school graduate69219
Some college or associate's degree612316
College graduate632214
Postgraduate study68257
Don't care to say85122
Less than $30,000662212
$30,000 to $50,000632314
$50,000 to $75,000662411
$75,000 to $100,00079129
Over $100,000612712
Declined to Answer553213
Thursday69229
Friday582616
Saturday691813
Sunday622612
Blue state612712
Red state672211
Swing state691912

Would you rather that more Democrats or more Republicans were elected to Congress in the next election?

DemocratsRepublicansNot sure
All45477
Women51436
Men39529
Democrat8794
Republican5905
Independent/​Other374518
Liberal87112
Moderate543313
Conservative17785
White38557
African-American81181
Asian423820
Hispanic573310
American Indian39538
   Federal Tribe334918
   Not Federal Tribe29710
Other47449
Tea Party5933
Non Tea Party71217
Not sure235918
Union household54388
Non-union household42507
18 to 29533412
30 to 4546486
46 to 6541517
Older than 6545495
Northeast52408
Midwest45469
South36586
West52417
Didn't complete high school56395
High school graduate42517
Some college or associate's degree43498
College graduate434710
Postgraduate study51445
Don't care to say40564
Less than $30,00055368
$30,000 to $50,00043516
$50,000 to $75,00046486
$75,000 to $100,00045468
Over $100,00045488
Declined to Answer365410
Thursday45487
Friday434810
Saturday51445
Sunday41526
Blue state55396
Red state36586
Swing state44479

Generally speaking, do you think things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you think they’re off on the wrong track?

Right directionWrong trackNot sure
All39565
Women44505
Men34624
Democrat77185
Republican6932
Independent/​Other29629
Liberal72208
Moderate49466
Conservative15833
White32644
African-American76186
Asian22735
Hispanic51428
American Indian176419
   Federal Tribe156718
   Not Federal Tribe23770
Other51428
Tea Party6941
Non Tea Party62326
Not sure17739
Union household51454
Non-union household36595
18 to 2947485
30 to 4538565
46 to 6537594
Older than 6540555
Northeast48484
Midwest35596
South33634
West44516
Didn't complete high school474111
High school graduate36595
Some college or associate's degree38585
College graduate35605
Postgraduate study47494
Don't care to say34624
Less than $30,000434710
$30,000 to $50,00036586
$50,000 to $75,00037593
$75,000 to $100,00042544
Over $100,00042563
Declined to Answer36586
Thursday40555
Friday36604
Saturday43516
Sunday39557
Blue state48466
Red state29683
Swing state39565

Do you think voting should be mandatory for U.S. citizens, or not?

It should beIt should notNot sure
All25696
Women28647
Men22744
Democrat35578
Republican18775
Independent/​Other19755
Liberal29638
Moderate26686
Conservative23725
White19746
African-American52435
Asian34597
Hispanic35587
American Indian24742
   Federal Tribe26740
   Not Federal Tribe29674
Other21791
Tea Party18794
Non Tea Party29656
Not sure276012
Union household28684
Non-union household24697
18 to 2928693
30 to 4527694
46 to 6524706
Older than 65246511
Northeast35596
Midwest22726
South23716
West21736
Didn't complete high school35595
High school graduate38539
Some college or associate's degree30636
College graduate20755
Postgraduate study15815
Don't care to say34624
Less than $30,000345610
$30,000 to $50,00023707
$50,000 to $75,00027694
$75,000 to $100,00030646
Over $100,00018785
Declined to Answer25686
Thursday24696
Friday22708
Saturday28693
Sunday37585
Blue state31645
Red state25705
Swing state20738

Who is your favorite member of the Supreme Court, or do you not have one? The members are Samuel Alito, Stephen Breyer, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Elena Kagan, Anthony Kennedy, John Roberts, Antonin Scalia, Sonia Sotomayor, and Clarence Thomas.

Samuel AlitoStephen BreyerRuth Bader GinsburgElena KaganAnthony KennedyJohn RobertsAntonin ScaliaSonia SotomayorClarence ThomasDon't have a favorite
All5411331010111034
Women43125210514837
Men541023111571230
Democrat6620527321228
Republican44212131611640
Independent/​Other31943111281335
Liberal1426624325425
Moderate45115312812535
Conservative72313111531738
White531143111271034
African-American4513437223632
Asian5230313013061
Hispanic5713507622728
American Indian30601171702730
   Federal Tribe7709183722-
   Not Federal Tribe06236192420-
Other266001011121735
Tea Party71401112112133
Non Tea Party44166310518528
Not sure26402883958
Union household6694291212932
Non-union household431233119101034
18 to 29712550979343
30 to 4553103351313737
46 to 65321242129111330
Older than 65421335141081031
Northeast65114210815633
Midwest3413221012111034
South53842111191333
West441355888936
Didn't complete high school12330412109543
High school graduate749431269939
Some college or associate's degree56833108121136
College graduate421233101381034
Postgraduate study331552101213927
Don't care to say0151020101214433
Less than $30,000539527614741
$30,000 to $50,00053104313118934
$50,000 to $75,000541413119121132
$75,000 to $100,000369311010151133
Over $100,000521344101381130
Declined to Answer59943979839
Thursday6311321111111031
Friday3310421379939
Saturday271134411131033
Sunday7684291181132
Blue state4215439814734
Red state7574391181334
Swing state3510321211101133

Are you more or less enthusiastic about voting this year than you were in 2008, or is there no difference?

More enthusiasticLess enthusiasticNo differenceNot sure
All5418280
Women5119301
Men5717260
Democrat4623320
Republican6512231
Independent/​Other4921291
Liberal4128300
Moderate4422340
Conservative6910211
White5120290
African-American6110281
Asian5916240
Hispanic5122252
American Indian882110
   Federal Tribe74026-
   Not Federal Tribe9640-
Other5617261
Tea Party735220
Non Tea Party4524310
Not sure4821302
Union household5614300
Non-union household5320270
18 to 295322240
30 to 455220281
46 to 655316300
Older than 655617251
Northeast5621230
Midwest5113360
South5813281
West4728250
Didn't complete high school7614100
High school graduate6216210
Some college or associate's degree5617270
College graduate4523330
Postgraduate study5118311
Don't care to say662320
Less than $30,0005814271
$30,000 to $50,0005316310
$50,000 to $75,0005419270
$75,000 to $100,0005717260
Over $100,0005219281
Declined to Answer4725280
Thursday5716271
Friday4623311
Saturday5719240
Sunday5415320
Blue state4825270
Red state5915261
Swing state5514300

Demographics

Women67652
Men62448
Democrat52040
Republican48137
Independent/Other29923
Liberal26020
Moderate50739
Conservative53341
White90970
African-American15612
Asian393
Hispanic1179
American Indian262
   Federal Tribe120.92
   Not Federal Tribe131.0
Other524
Tea Party39030
Non Tea Party74057
Not sure16913
Union household32525
Non-union household97575
18 to 2919515
30 to 4532525
46 to 6552040
Older than 6526020
Northeast33826
Midwest29923
South41632
West24719
Didn't complete high school393
High school graduate20816
Some college or associate's degree39030
College graduate31224
Postgraduate study32525
Don't care to say262
Less than $30,00015612
$30,000 to $50,00024719
$50,000 to $75,00026020
$75,000 to $100,00022117
Over $100,00029923
Declined to Answer13010
Thursday61147
Friday36428
Saturday22117
Sunday1048
Blue state46836
Red state37729
Swing state45435